The Black Swan: Second Edition

Sách The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Black Swan: Second EditionThe Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, a…

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Công ty phát hành: Penguin Random House

Nhà xuất bản: Penguin Random House

ISBN-13: 9780812973815

Loại bìa: Paperback

Số trang: 480

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Nội dung đánh giá : Tuyệt vời
Đánh giá: Vừa mới nhận hàng là lên đánh giá liền vì quá hài lòng, nội dung mình chưa đọc nhưng hình thức thì ok, do sách nước ngoài nên thường chữ hơi nhỏ, nhưng bù lại sách nhẹ 444 trang nhưng cầm không nặng tay, giấy khá thơm, không có mùi khó chịu như những cuốn sách nước ngoài khác. Nói chung là tuyệt vời.

Nội dung đánh giá : Cực kì hài lòng
Đánh giá: Sách tốt không công vênh, giao buổi chiều sáng mai có, dịch vụ tốt

Nội dung đánh giá : Cực kì hài lòng
Đánh giá: Nhà sách giao hàng rất nhanh và đóng gói cẩn thận


REVIEW NỘI DUNG SẢN PHẨM

The Black Swan: Second Edition

The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.” For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book–itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb


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